Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos Hernandez
oldest →L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 23W
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24L
SUBvs HyunSung Park · May 25 Denys BondarL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Feb 22L
SUBvs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos HernandezMetricDenys Bondar
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlos HernandezDenys Bondar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)Denys Bondar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -343.0|Blue +343.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlos HernandezTargetDenys Bondar
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carlos Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:09
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Denys Bondar edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:08
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Carlos Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns2
Control0:23
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
