Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steve Garcia is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Chase Hooper has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Steve Garcia has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Steve Garcia has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase Hooper
oldest →W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26W
SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26 Steve Garcia
oldest →W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Jul 24W
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Sep 24W
vs Calvin Kattar · Jul 25W
KOvs David Onama · Nov 25L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricSteve Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap+3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chase HooperSteve Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Steve Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.1|Blue +9.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chase HooperTargetSteve Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Steve Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
3Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
