Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25W
DECvs William Gomis · May 26 Tristan Connelly
oldest →W
vs Michel Pereira · Sep 19L
vs Darren Elkins · Apr 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricTristan Connelly
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pat SabatiniTristan Connelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)Tristan Connelly(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +122.5|Blue -122.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pat SabatiniTargetTristan Connelly
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control4:05
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control4:18
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tristan Connelly edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:35
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
