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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dooho Choi won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1469

Elo1530

Nate LandwehrvsDooho ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dooho Choi won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:21

Style matchupNate Landwehr: Pressure fightervsDooho Choi: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Nate Landwehr wins(55.0%)

Actual result: Dooho Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nate Landwehr at -130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dooho Choi is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Nate Landwehr has lost 83% of fights by KO.
Nate Landwehr has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Nate Landwehr

Red Corner

Dooho Choi

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1469

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nate LandwehrL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23

vs Dan Ige · Jun 23

KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24

KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25

KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26

latest

Dooho ChoiW2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Dec 16

KOvs Jeremy Stephens · Jan 18

KOvs Charles Jourdain · Dec 19

KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 24

KOvs Daniel Santos · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nate LandwehrMetricDooho Choi

5.55

Strikes / min

4.67

5.96

Strikes absorbed / min

4.02

51%

Strike defense

56%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

1.43

71%

Takedown defense

47%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.41Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nate LandwehrDooho Choi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nate Landwehr(10 fights)Dooho Choi(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -60.5|Blue +60.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Nate LandwehrTargetDooho Choi

By target zone

28% acc · 52%

Head

62% acc · 78%

60% acc · 36%

Body

100% acc · 12%

60% acc · 12%

Leg

89% acc · 10%

By position

27% acc · 60%

Distance

63% acc · 79%

83% acc · 40%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

Ground

92% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Nate Landwehr rounds

even

Dooho Choi rounds

Round 1Dooho Choi edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:23

40Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 2Dooho Choi edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:19

23Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:00Control

Round 3Dooho Choi edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:49Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 67

Sig Strikes

78 / 116

36.3%

Sig Str %

70%

32 / 77

Total Strikes

114 / 157

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 5

—

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

7:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dooho Choi	40 / 66	40 / 66	1 / 2
1	Nate Landwehr	9 / 25	11 / 29	0 / 0
2	Dooho Choi	23 / 29	26 / 32	2 / 2
2	Nate Landwehr	12 / 30	16 / 35	0 / 0
3	Dooho Choi	15 / 21	48 / 59	1 / 1
3	Nate Landwehr	4 / 12	5 / 13	0 / 0

Nate Landwehr

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10

Dooho Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8