Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brunno Ferreira has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brunno FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Mar 25W
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Jul 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 25L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Mar 26L
DECvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 26 Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Abus Magomedov · Sep 22W
SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24L
vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brunno FerreiraMetricDustin Stoltzfus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.14evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brunno FerreiraDustin Stoltzfus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brunno Ferreira(10 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.3|Blue -18.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brunno FerreiraTargetDustin Stoltzfus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brunno Ferreira edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns1
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:31Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
