← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Scott Askham won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1360

Elo1356

Scott AskhamvsChris DempseyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Scott Askham won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:45

Style matchupScott Askham: Well-roundedvsChris Dempsey: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Scott Askham wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Scott Askham wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Scott Askham at -360 American odds

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Scott Askham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Scott Askham is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Dempsey has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Chris Dempsey has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Scott Askham has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Scott Askham (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Scott Askham

Red Corner

Chris Dempsey

Blue Corner

-360

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1360

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Scott AskhamL3 streak

oldest →

vs Magnus Cedenblad · Oct 14

KOvs Antonio Dos Santos · Jun 15

vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 15

vs Jack Hermansson · Sep 16

DECvs Bradley Scott · Mar 17

latest

Chris Dempsey

oldest →

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jul 14

vs Eddie Gordon · Apr 15

KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Aug 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Scott AskhamMetricChris Dempsey

3.03

Strikes / min

2.25

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

2.82

52%

Strike defense

65%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

2.64

65%

Takedown defense

16%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Scott AskhamChris Dempsey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Scott Askham(6 fights)Chris Dempsey(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.3|Blue -3.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Scott AskhamTargetChris Dempsey

By target zone

100% acc · 86%

Head

40% acc · 33%

33% acc · 14%

Body

67% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

75% acc · 43%

Distance

50% acc · 14%

Clinch

56% acc · 83%

100% acc · 43%

Ground

100% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Scott Askham rounds

even

Chris Dempsey rounds

Round 1Scott Askham edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:42

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:19Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 9

Sig Strikes

6 / 10

77%

Sig Str %

60%

13 / 15

Total Strikes

20 / 24

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 4

50%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

3:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Dempsey	6 / 10	20 / 24	1 / 4	0
1	Scott Askham	7 / 9	13 / 15	1 / 2	0

Scott Askham

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6

Chris Dempsey

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4