Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22 Klidson AbreuL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Feb 19L
vs Shamil Gamzatov · Nov 19L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · May 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam AlveyMetricKlidson Abreu
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam AlveyKlidson Abreu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Alvey(10 fights)Klidson Abreu(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +46.0|Blue -46.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam AlveyTargetKlidson Abreu
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Klidson Abreu edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:47
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:13
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:33
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
