Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kajan Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
- Kajan Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stevie Ray
oldest →L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19 Kajan JohnsonL2 streak
oldest →W
DECvs Zhang Lipeng · May 15W
vs Naoyuki Kotani · Sep 15W
KOvs Adriano Martins · Sep 17L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jul 18L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stevie RayMetricKajan Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stevie RayKajan Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stevie Ray(10 fights)Kajan Johnson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +124.3|Blue -124.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +55.0|Blue -55.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stevie RayTargetKajan Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kajan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Kajan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control0:50
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Stevie Ray edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:50
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:58Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
