Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrei Arlovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Buday has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andrei ArlovskiL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jared Vanderaa · Feb 22W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 22L
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Oct 22L
KOvs Don'Tale Mayes · Jun 23L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Jan 24 Martin BudayW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Collier · Apr 23W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andrei ArlovskiMetricMartin Buday
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.60evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andrei ArlovskiMartin Buday
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andrei Arlovski(10 fights)Martin Buday(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -34.4|Blue +34.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andrei ArlovskiTargetMartin Buday
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:48
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:18Control
Round 2Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control2:09
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Andrei Arlovski edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control2:01
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
