Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Johny Hendricks (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Johny HendricksL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jul 16W
vs Hector Lombard · Feb 17L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jun 17L
KOvs Paulo Costa · Nov 17 Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Johny HendricksMetricCharlie Brenneman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Johny HendricksCharlie Brenneman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Johny Hendricks(10 fights)Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.7|Blue -8.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -38.0|Blue +38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Johny HendricksTargetCharlie Brenneman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Charlie Brenneman rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:43
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:07Control
Round 2Johny Hendricks edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
