Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Santiago Luna has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Santiago Luna has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Santiago Luna has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago Luna
oldest →L
SUBvs Bryce Mitchell · Jun 26 Angel Pacheco
oldest →L
vs Caolan Loughran · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago LunaMetricAngel Pacheco
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+4.38Δ 7.36 — meaningful gap-2.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Santiago LunaAngel Pacheco
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Luna(3 fights)Angel Pacheco(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.6|Blue -35.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -532.0|Blue +532.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Santiago LunaTargetAngel Pacheco
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Santiago Luna edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns2
Control0:50
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Santiago Luna edged it
Sig. strikes56
Takedowns2
Control1:31
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Santiago Luna edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns1
Control1:02
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
