Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Asu Almabayev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manel Kape (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jun 26 Asu AlmabayevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Jose Johnson · Jun 24W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24W
SUBvs Alex Perez · Nov 25W
SUBvs Charles Johnson · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Manel KapeMetricAsu Almabayev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Manel KapeAsu Almabayev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Manel Kape(10 fights)Asu Almabayev(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Manel KapeTargetAsu Almabayev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Manel Kape edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Manel Kape edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:29
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
