Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Da'Mon Blackshear threatens submissions; Mario Bautista has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Da'Mon Blackshear has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Da'Mon Blackshear
oldest →L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24W
SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25W
vs Alatengheili · Apr 25 Mario BautistaW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26W
DECvs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Da'Mon BlackshearMetricMario Bautista
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.14Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Da'Mon BlackshearMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.7|Blue +43.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Da'Mon BlackshearTargetMario Bautista
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Da'Mon Blackshear rounds
Round 1Da'Mon Blackshear edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns4
Control2:28
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Da'Mon Blackshear edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:27
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 3Mario Bautista edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
28Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
