Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Silva has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Danny Silva has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danny Silva (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny Silva
oldest →W
vs Josh Culibao · Mar 24L
vs Kevin Vallejos · Aug 25W
KOvs Kurtis Campbell · Mar 26 Lucas Almeida
oldest →W
KOvs Michael Trizano · Jun 22L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Jun 23L
KOvs Andre Fili · Dec 23W
vs Timmy Cuamba · Jun 24L
KOvs Michael Aswell Jr. · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny SilvaMetricLucas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.75evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Danny SilvaLucas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Silva(4 fights)Lucas Almeida(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +47.6|Blue -47.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Danny SilvaTargetLucas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Danny Silva edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:24
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Danny Silva edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control0:15
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Lucas Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:10
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
