Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gabriel Santos threatens submissions; Jack Jenkins has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Jack Jenkins has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gabriel Santos has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Jenkins (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack JenkinsW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jamall Emmers · Jun 23L
KOvs Chepe Mariscal · Sep 23W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 24W
vs Ramon Taveras · Sep 25 Gabriel Santos
oldest →L
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 23L
KOvs David Onama · Jun 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack JenkinsMetricGabriel Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.53Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack JenkinsGabriel Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Jenkins(6 fights)Gabriel Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack JenkinsTargetGabriel Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jack Jenkins edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control2:17
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:50Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Gabriel Santos edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:03
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:48Control
Round 3Gabriel Santos edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
