Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago PonzinibbioL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26 Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricSean Strickland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Santiago PonzinibbioSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -53.3|Blue +53.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Santiago PonzinibbioTargetSean Strickland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds
Round 1Santiago Ponzinibbio edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:24
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 3Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:04
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
