Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tim Means enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Andre Fialho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tim Means has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tim MeansL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 22L
SUBvs Alex Morono · May 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Apr 24L
SUBvs Court McGee · Oct 24 Andre FialhoL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Miguel Baeza · Apr 22W
KOvs Cameron VanCamp · May 22L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Jun 22L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 22L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tim MeansMetricAndre Fialho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 4.35 — meaningful gap-2.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tim MeansAndre Fialho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tim Means(10 fights)Andre Fialho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.8|Blue -18.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tim MeansTargetAndre Fialho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control1:22
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control1:29
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 3Tim Means edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
