Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Chad Mendes has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Myles Jury has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Myles Jury
oldest →L
vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 15L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 15W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Apr 17 Chad MendesL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Myles JuryMetricChad Mendes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.78evenly matched on net striking+0.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Myles JuryChad Mendes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Myles Jury(10 fights)Chad Mendes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -120.6|Blue +120.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -750.0|Blue +750.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Myles JuryTargetChad Mendes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
