Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rafael Fiziev has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24 Rafael Fiziev
oldest →L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rafael Dos AnjosMetricRafael Fiziev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rafael Dos AnjosRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -18.7|Blue +18.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rafael Dos AnjosTargetRafael Fiziev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control2:08
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:31
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 3Rafael Fiziev edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:46
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 4Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:48
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:27Control
Round 5Rafael Fiziev edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
