Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago Ponzinibbio
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Morono · Dec 22L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26 Daniel RodriguezW2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Nov 22L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricDaniel Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Santiago PonzinibbioDaniel Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.4|Blue +43.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Santiago PonzinibbioTargetDaniel Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds
Round 1Daniel Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:02
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Santiago Ponzinibbio edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:42
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Daniel Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
