Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demian Maia has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
DECvs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21 Jake Shields
oldest →L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Apr 11L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Sep 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 13L
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricJake Shields
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Demian MaiaJake Shields
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Jake Shields(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -87.9|Blue +87.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Demian MaiaTargetJake Shields
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control2:13
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:28Control
Round 2Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:16
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:20Control
Round 3Jake Shields edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:50
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:42Control
Round 4Demian Maia edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:40
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:20
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
