Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25 Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricKevin Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaKevin Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Kevin Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.8|Blue -13.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetKevin Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:18Control
Round 2Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:12Control
Round 3Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:10
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 4Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:33Control
Round 5Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
