Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eric Shelton has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Morales (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph MoralesW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roberto Sanchez · Aug 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 18W
SUBvs Alibi Idiris · Aug 25W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Nov 25 Eric SheltonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 17L
vs Jarred Brooks · Jul 17L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Mar 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph MoralesMetricEric Shelton
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.05evenly matched on net striking+0.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph MoralesEric Shelton
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Morales(5 fights)Eric Shelton(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +40.4|Blue -40.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph MoralesTargetEric Shelton
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Eric Shelton edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:07
7Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 2Eric Shelton edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:04
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:40Control
Round 3Eric Shelton edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:40
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
