Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- James Krause has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James Krause
oldest →W
vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20 Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James KrauseMetricWarlley Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.68Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James KrauseWarlley Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Krause(10 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.7|Blue -3.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +118.0|Blue -118.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James KrauseTargetWarlley Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:55
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 2James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control1:10
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
