Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Riki Fukuda (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Riki Fukuda
oldest →L
DECvs Costas Philippou · Jul 12L
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 13 Steve CantwellL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Cyrille Diabate · Mar 11L
vs Mike Massenzio · Oct 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Riki FukudaMetricSteve Cantwell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-2.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Riki FukudaSteve Cantwell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Riki Fukuda(5 fights)Steve Cantwell(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.8|Blue -138.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.4|Blue +2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Riki FukudaTargetSteve Cantwell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Riki Fukuda edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:39
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Riki Fukuda edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns1
Control0:51
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 3Riki Fukuda edged it
Sig. strikes56
Takedowns1
Control1:06
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
