Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hatsu HiokiL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Mar 14L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 14L
KOvs Dan Hooker · May 15 Bart PalaszewskiL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tyson Griffin · Oct 11L
SUBvs Cole Miller · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hatsu HiokiMetricBart Palaszewski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hatsu HiokiBart Palaszewski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)Bart Palaszewski(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hatsu HiokiTargetBart Palaszewski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hatsu Hioki edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control3:28
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:09
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Hatsu Hioki edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control4:44
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
