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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Iuri Alcantara won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1358

Iuri AlcantaravsLeandro IssaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Iuri Alcantara won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIuri Alcantara: Well-roundedvsLeandro Issa: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Leandro Issa wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Iuri Alcantara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Leandro Issa at +210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Iuri Alcantara

Red Corner

Leandro Issa

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1491

Elo

1358

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Iuri Alcantara

oldest →

SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17

vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17

KOvs Joe Soto · Feb 18

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18

latest

Leandro Issa

oldest →

SUBvs Russell Doane · Jan 14

SUBvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Jul 14

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Dec 14

vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Iuri AlcantaraMetricLeandro Issa

2.72

Strikes / min

2.08

2.79

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

49%

Strike defense

58%

1.44

TDs / 15 min

2.38

60%

Takedown defense

50%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.07Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap-1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Iuri AlcantaraLeandro Issa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Leandro Issa(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +133.3|Blue -133.3

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -64.0|Blue +64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Iuri AlcantaraTargetLeandro Issa

By target zone

49% acc · 79%

Head

53% acc · 81%

77% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 8%

50% acc · 2%

Leg

25% acc · 12%

By position

48% acc · 58%

Distance

41% acc · 50%

50% acc · 15%

Clinch

70% acc · 26%

Ground

57% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Iuri Alcantara rounds

even

Leandro Issa rounds

Round 1Leandro Issa edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:20

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:45Control

Round 2Iuri Alcantara edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:47

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

Round 3Iuri Alcantara edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control1:04

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 101

Sig Strikes

26 / 55

51.7%

Sig Str %

46%

65 / 114

Total Strikes

37 / 70

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 10

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:11

Ctrl Time

5:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Leandro Issa	14 / 28	22 / 39	1 / 1
1	Iuri Alcantara	7 / 13	9 / 15	0 / 0
2	Leandro Issa	6 / 13	9 / 17	0 / 4
2	Iuri Alcantara	18 / 37	22 / 41	0 / 0
3	Leandro Issa	6 / 14	6 / 14	0 / 5
3	Iuri Alcantara	28 / 51	34 / 58	0 / 0

Iuri Alcantara

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights17

Leandro Issa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5