Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dustin Pague enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ken Stone
oldest →L
KOvs Scott Jorgensen · Jun 11W
SUBvs Donny Walker · Sep 11L
KOvs Erik Perez · Aug 12 Dustin PagueL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs John Albert · Dec 11W
SUBvs Jared Papazian · Jun 12L
vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 13L
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ken StoneMetricDustin Pague
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ken StoneDustin Pague
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ken Stone(4 fights)Dustin Pague(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.6|Blue -137.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +265.0|Blue -265.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ken StoneTargetDustin Pague
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ken Stone edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:39
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ken Stone edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control3:28
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
