Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Herbert Burns is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nate Landwehr has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Nate Landwehr has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Herbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Evan Dunham · Jun 20L
KOvs Daniel Pineda · Aug 20L
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 22L
KOvs Julio Arce · Mar 24L
KOvs Jack Jenkins · Aug 24 Nate LandwehrL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Herbert BurnsMetricNate Landwehr
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.31Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Herbert BurnsNate Landwehr
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Herbert Burns(6 fights)Nate Landwehr(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.7|Blue -13.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Herbert BurnsTargetNate Landwehr
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Herbert Burns edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:34
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
