Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joanna Jedrzejczyk has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Zhang Weili
oldest →W
SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22W
vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23W
vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Nov 25 Joanna Jedrzejczyk
oldest →L
vs Rose Namajunas · Apr 18W
vs Tecia Torres · Jul 18L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Dec 18W
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Zhang WeiliMetricJoanna Jedrzejczyk
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.03evenly matched on net striking+3.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Zhang WeiliJoanna Jedrzejczyk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Zhang Weili(9 fights)Joanna Jedrzejczyk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +81.2|Blue -81.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -4.0|Blue +4.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -609.0|Blue +609.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Zhang WeiliTargetJoanna Jedrzejczyk
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Joanna Jedrzejczyk rounds
Round 1Zhang Weili edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns3
Control2:39
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Zhang Weili edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
