Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Xiao Long enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Xiao Long is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Quang Le has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Quang Le has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Xiao LongL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Mar 26 Quang Le
oldest →L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Gaston Bolanos · May 25L
KOvs Santiago Luna · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Xiao LongMetricQuang Le
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.21Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Xiao LongQuang Le
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Xiao Long(4 fights)Quang Le(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.5|Blue +10.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Xiao Long edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Xiao Long edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:21
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Xiao Long edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
