Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lerone Murphy has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Lerone Murphy has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Aaron Pico
oldest →W
DECvs Patricio Pitbull · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricAaron Pico
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.69Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+3.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lerone MurphyAaron Pico
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Aaron Pico(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +28.2|Blue -28.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lerone MurphyTargetAaron Pico
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Aaron Pico edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:01Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
