Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Caio Borralho (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makhmud Muradov
oldest →W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Sep 19W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Dec 19W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Jan 21L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 23 Caio Borralho
oldest →W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25W
vs Reinier de Ridder · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makhmud MuradovMetricCaio Borralho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.64evenly matched on net striking+0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Makhmud MuradovCaio Borralho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makhmud Muradov(6 fights)Caio Borralho(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.8|Blue +33.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +315.0|Blue -315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Makhmud MuradovTargetCaio Borralho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Caio Borralho edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:32
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:36Control
Round 2Makhmud Muradov edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control2:45
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:27
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:10Control
