Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Wade threatens submissions; Rustam Khabilov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Rustam Khabilov has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rustam Khabilov
oldest →W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19 Chris Wade
oldest →W
DECvs Zhang Lipeng · Jan 15W
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 15W
SUBvs Mehdi Baghdad · Jan 16L
vs Islam Makhachev · Sep 16W
vs Frankie Perez · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rustam KhabilovMetricChris Wade
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rustam KhabilovChris Wade
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)Chris Wade(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -41.0|Blue +41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rustam KhabilovTargetChris Wade
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control1:35
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:16
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:22Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns3
Control3:46
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
