Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Andrew Sanchez has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25 Andrew SanchezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 19L
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 19W
KOvs Wellington Turman · Aug 20L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Jan 21L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Oct 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricAndrew Sanchez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.85Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony SmithAndrew Sanchez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Andrew Sanchez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +75.2|Blue -75.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +6.0|Blue -6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony SmithTargetAndrew Sanchez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Andrew Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:04
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:37Control
Round 2Andrew Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:58Control
Round 3Anthony Smith edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
