Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Charlie Brenneman has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Charlie Brenneman has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Amilcar Alves (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charlie BrennemanL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14L
KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14L
SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14 Amilcar Alves
oldest →L
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Aug 10 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charlie BrennemanMetricAmilcar Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charlie BrennemanAmilcar Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Amilcar Alves(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charlie BrennemanTargetAmilcar Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Charlie Brenneman rounds
Round 1Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control4:29
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control3:48
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Charlie Brenneman edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:59
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
