Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nate Landwehr threatens submissions; Austin Lingo has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate LandwehrL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26 Austin Lingo
oldest →L
DECvs Youssef Zalel · Feb 20W
vs Jacob Kilburn · Jan 21W
vs Luis Saldana · Aug 21L
vs Melquizael Costa · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate LandwehrMetricAustin Lingo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking-1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nate LandwehrAustin Lingo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Landwehr(10 fights)Austin Lingo(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.2|Blue -2.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -357.0|Blue +357.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nate LandwehrTargetAustin Lingo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nate Landwehr edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Nate Landwehr edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control0:24
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
