Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin HubbardL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25 Alexander Hernandez
oldest →L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25L
DECvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin HubbardMetricAlexander Hernandez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Austin HubbardAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Hubbard(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -45.6|Blue +45.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Austin HubbardTargetAlexander Hernandez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Alexander Hernandez rounds
Round 1Alexander Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alexander Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:05
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
