Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daria Zhelezniakova has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Melissa Mullins has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daria ZhelezniakovaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Montserrat Rendon · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 24L
DECvs Melissa Croden · Apr 26 Melissa Mullins
oldest →W
vs Irina Alekseeva · Oct 23L
KOvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 24W
KOvs Klaudia Sygula · Nov 24L
SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daria ZhelezniakovaMetricMelissa Mullins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.75Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daria ZhelezniakovaMelissa Mullins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daria Zhelezniakova(4 fights)Melissa Mullins(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +22.5|Blue -22.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daria ZhelezniakovaTargetMelissa Mullins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Daria Zhelezniakova rounds
Round 1Daria Zhelezniakova edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Daria Zhelezniakova edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 3Melissa Mullins edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
