Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Lingo has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melquizael Costa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin Lingo
oldest →L
DECvs Youssef Zalel · Feb 20W
vs Jacob Kilburn · Jan 21W
vs Luis Saldana · Aug 21L
SUBvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 23 Melquizael Costa
oldest →W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 25W
vs Julian Erosa · May 25W
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Dec 25L
DECvs Arnold Allen · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin LingoMetricMelquizael Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.00Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Austin LingoMelquizael Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Lingo(5 fights)Melquizael Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -96.6|Blue +96.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Austin LingoTargetMelquizael Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Melquizael Costa edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Melquizael Costa edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Melquizael Costa edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
