Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean O'Malley is a KO finisher (58% of wins). Kris Moutinho has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Sean O'Malley has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sean O'Malley has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean O'Malley (54.1%).
- Sean O'Malley has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sean O'MalleyW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Sep 24L
SUBvs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 25W
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 26 Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 22L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25L
vs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sean O'MalleyMetricKris Moutinho
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.65Δ 8.66 — meaningful gap-6.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sean O'MalleyKris Moutinho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sean O'Malley(10 fights)Kris Moutinho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +80.2|Blue -80.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sean O'MalleyTargetKris Moutinho
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes77
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes70
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Sean O'Malley edged it
Sig. strikes83
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
