Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Victor Henry has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Victor Henry
oldest →W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24W
vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25 Tony Gravely
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Birchak · Apr 21L
KOvs Nate Maness · Sep 21W
vs Saimon Oliveira · Jan 22W
KOvs Johnny Munoz · Jun 22L
vs Javid Basharat · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Victor HenryMetricTony Gravely
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.98Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap-0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Victor HenryTony Gravely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Victor Henry(6 fights)Tony Gravely(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +52.5|Blue -52.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Victor HenryTargetTony Gravely
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:01
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 2Victor Henry edged it
Sig. strikes71
Takedowns0
Control0:55
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 3Victor Henry edged it
Sig. strikes54
Takedowns0
Control0:24
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
