Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21 Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gian VillanteMetricSam Alvey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gian VillanteSam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gian Villante(10 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -19.8|Blue +19.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gian VillanteTargetSam Alvey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sam Alvey edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Sam Alvey edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Gian Villante edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:06
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
