Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Asu Almabayev threatens submissions; Alex Perez has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Alex Perez has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex Perez
oldest →L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 24W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Apr 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Jun 24W
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 26 Asu AlmabayevW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jose Johnson · Jun 24W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Mar 25W
SUBvs Charles Johnson · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex PerezMetricAsu Almabayev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.21evenly matched on net striking+0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex PerezAsu Almabayev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Perez(10 fights)Asu Almabayev(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -58.2|Blue +58.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +406.0|Blue -406.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex PerezTargetAsu Almabayev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Alex Perez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns3
Control2:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 3Asu Almabayev edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
