Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Baudot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan BaudotL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Oct 20L
vs Parker Porter · Feb 22L
KOvs Josh Parisian · Jun 22 Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan BaudotMetricRodrigo Nascimento
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.54Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alan BaudotRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Baudot(4 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -74.1|Blue +74.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alan BaudotTargetRodrigo Nascimento
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Rodrigo Nascimento rounds
Round 1Alan Baudot edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:38
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:36Control
Round 2Rodrigo Nascimento edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
