Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Wang GuanNo prior UFC fights on record.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Wang GuanMetricAlex Caceres
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.46evenly matched on net striking+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Wang GuanAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Wang Guan(1 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.8|Blue +8.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +47.6|Blue -47.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Wang GuanTargetAlex Caceres
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Wang Guan edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Wang Guan edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:01
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alex Caceres edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:10
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
