Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcus McGhee has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan Martinez
oldest →W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23 Marcus McGhee
oldest →W
SUBvs Journey Newson · Apr 23W
KOvs Gaston Bolanos · Jan 24W
DECvs John Yannis · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan MartinezMetricMarcus McGhee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.35Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan MartinezMarcus McGhee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)Marcus McGhee(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.2|Blue +24.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan MartinezTargetMarcus McGhee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jonathan Martinez rounds
Round 1Marcus McGhee edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Marcus McGhee edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:57
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
