Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jeisla Chaves won · Decision R3

Elo1521

Elo1466

Jeisla ChavesvsYuneisy DubenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Jeisla Chaves won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJeisla Chaves: Pressure fightervsYuneisy Duben: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jeisla Chaves wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Jeisla Chaves wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jeisla Chaves has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jeisla Chaves

Red Corner

Yuneisy Duben

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1521

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

172.72 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeisla ChavesNo prior UFC fights on record.

Yuneisy Duben

oldest →

KOvs Carli Judice · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeisla ChavesMetricYuneisy Duben

5.67

Strikes / min

13.53

4.27

Strikes absorbed / min

10.75

60%

Strike defense

53%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.40Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap+2.78

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jeisla Chaves(1 fights)Yuneisy Duben(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +54.8|Blue -54.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeisla ChavesTargetYuneisy Duben

By target zone

53% acc · 55%

Head

49% acc · 66%

83% acc · 31%

Body

88% acc · 23%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

54% acc · 11%

By position

53% acc · 56%

Distance

49% acc · 71%

83% acc · 23%

Clinch

89% acc · 13%

100% acc · 20%

Ground

77% acc · 16%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jeisla Chaves rounds

even

Yuneisy Duben rounds

Round 1Yuneisy Duben edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 2Jeisla Chaves edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control3:01

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 3Yuneisy Duben edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns2

Control1:28

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:15Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 99

Sig Strikes

62 / 112

69.7%

Sig Str %

57.3%

92 / 136

Total Strikes

110 / 165

3 / 6

TDs

2 / 4

49.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:29

Ctrl Time

3:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yuneisy Duben	26 / 56	39 / 69	1 / 2	0
1	Jeisla Chaves	28 / 53	31 / 56	0 / 0	0
2	Yuneisy Duben	12 / 20	25 / 33	0 / 1	0
2	Jeisla Chaves	18 / 25	38 / 52	1 / 3	1
3	Yuneisy Duben	24 / 36	46 / 63	1 / 1	0
3	Jeisla Chaves	18 / 21	23 / 28	2 / 3	0

Jeisla Chaves

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2

Yuneisy Duben

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights2