Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25 Umar NurmagomedovW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 24W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricUmar Nurmagomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62evenly matched on net striking+2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Merab DvalishviliUmar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.6|Blue -5.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Merab DvalishviliTargetUmar Nurmagomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Merab Dvalishvili rounds
2
Umar Nurmagomedov rounds
Round 1Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:02
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:15
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 3Umar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:07
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 4Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns4
Control1:05
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 5Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control0:53
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
