Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Tyson Griffin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tyson Griffin has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyson Griffin
oldest →L
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Aug 10W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jun 11L
KOvs Bart Palaszewski · Oct 11 Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyson GriffinMetricNik Lentz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.41Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tyson GriffinNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +95.3|Blue -95.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +27.0|Blue -27.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tyson GriffinTargetNik Lentz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tyson Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns4
Control3:20
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Tyson Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control2:05
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Tyson Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:43
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:22Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
